Tactical voting

Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe

Our tactical voting recommendation in Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe:
Vote Lib Dem

Why vote Lib Dem in Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe?

Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe is a new name for a seat in Mid Wales, Brecon and Radnorshire. The latest polling shows a close three-way contest between Liberal Democrat, Labour and Conservatives. The party in the lead in polling has fluctuated more than usual in polls since September 2023. The Liberal Democrats are ahead of the Labour party, and they have the party infrastructure to campaign effectively across this large rural constituency. The best chance of avoiding a Conservative or Reform victory on a low share of the vote in this seat is to vote for the Lib Dems.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe?

It looks like Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe is a Labour and Liberal Democrats target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 27.23%
Labour 38.07%
Liberal Democrats 18.75%
Reform 10.03%
Green 1.27%
Plaid Cymru 3.27%
Other 1.32%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe?

38%

What's happened in Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe

Energy Bills

51%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

65,616

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

100,362

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 25

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Housing

12,537

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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