Tactical voting
Amber Valley
Our tactical voting recommendation in Amber Valley:
Vote Labour
Why vote Labour in Amber Valley?
Since its creation in 1983, the Amber Valley constituency has been won by the party that has gone on to form the government. While the Conservatives had a large majority in 2019, the seat's history makes it a key marginal. Labour led in the May 2023 local elections. The latest polling shows Labour ahead in General Election voting intention, but the contest remains close with the Conservatives. Neither Lib Dems nor Greens are targeting Amber Valley.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Which parties look like they are targeting Amber Valley?
![](/app/themes/outlandish/public/img/party_logos/square/labour.png)
![](/app/themes/outlandish/public/img/party_logos/square/libdem.png)
![](/app/themes/outlandish/public/img/party_logos/square/greens.png)
![](/app/themes/outlandish/public/img/party_logos/square/plaidcymru.png)
![](/app/themes/outlandish/public/img/party_logos/square/snp.png)
It looks like Amber Valley is a Labour target seat.
Polling: Voting Intention for Amber Valley
MRP polling by Survation:
Conservative
34.47%
Labour
38.77%
Liberal Democrats
9.50%
Reform
10.57%
Green
5.06%
Other
1.56%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Amber Valley?
34%
What's happened in Amber Valley
Energy Bills
51%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
67,078
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)172,680
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 20
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Ambulance Wait Times
1h 4m 42s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)1h 25m 57s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)
Housing
7,890
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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