Tactical voting
Ashfield
Our tactical voting recommendation in Ashfield:
Vote Labour
Why vote Labour in Ashfield?
The Conservatives won Ashfield from Labour in 2019 but with a small majority. The seat is complex politically, with the incumbent now representing Reform UK, and there has been significant support for Independents in past local and national elections. Reform UK has pulled ahead of Labour in the most recent polls. It is not a Lib Dem or Green target seat, so Labour is the clear choice for progressive voters, and is polling ahead of the main independent candidate.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Which parties look like they are targeting Ashfield?
![](/app/themes/outlandish/public/img/party_logos/square/labour.png)
![](/app/themes/outlandish/public/img/party_logos/square/libdem.png)
![](/app/themes/outlandish/public/img/party_logos/square/greens.png)
![](/app/themes/outlandish/public/img/party_logos/square/plaidcymru.png)
![](/app/themes/outlandish/public/img/party_logos/square/snp.png)
It looks like Ashfield is a Labour target seat.
Polling: Voting Intention for Ashfield
MRP polling by Survation:
Conservative
24.03%
Labour
46.58%
Liberal Democrats
6.36%
Reform
14.42%
Green
3.33%
Other
5.10%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Ashfield?
30%
What's happened in Ashfield
Energy Bills
60%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
67,078
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)172,680
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 16
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Ambulance Wait Times
1h 4m 42s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)1h 25m 57s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)
Housing
7,890
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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