Tactical voting
Aylesbury
Our tactical voting recommendation in Aylesbury:
Vote Labour
Why vote Labour in Aylesbury?
Aylesbury has been Conservative since 1924, but the prospect of a big swing in the South East has given Labour a chance in the seat for the first time. It's 139th on Labour's target list, meaning it's winnable if they get a solid majority in parliament. The latest polls show Labour leading, but not decisively, with the Conservatives very close behind. Aylesbury is not a target seat for the Lib Dems, in contrast to Chesham and Amersham, where they're defending their 2021 by-election win. Success depends on efficiently concentrating votes for the winning candidate.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Which parties look like they are targeting Aylesbury?
It looks like Aylesbury is a Labour target seat.
Polling: Voting Intention for Aylesbury
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
29.47%
Labour
36.65%
Liberal Democrats
14.69%
Reform
13.85%
Green
3.77%
Other
1.46%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Aylesbury?
36%
What's happened in Aylesbury
Energy Bills
57%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
128,488
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)349,400
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 33
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Ambulance Wait Times
34m 5s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)1h 10m 48s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)
Housing
29,540
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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