Tactical voting
Banbury
Our tactical voting recommendation in Banbury:
Vote Labour
Why vote Labour in Banbury?
Banbury's boundaries have changed and demographics have shifted, making it a Labour target for the first time. The Conservatives narrowly led in the May 2024 local elections, with Labour second and Lib Dems third. The latest general election voting intention polling shows the Conservatives leading by less than one percentage point. Neither the Lib Dems nor the Greens are targeting the seat, but their vote share could split the progressive vote and allow the Tories to hold the seat. Tactical voting could be crucial in Banbury.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Which parties look like they are targeting Banbury?
It looks like Banbury is a Labour target seat.
Polling: Voting Intention for Banbury
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
29.75%
Labour
37.08%
Liberal Democrats
15.30%
Reform
12.45%
Green
3.97%
Other
1.36%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Banbury?
40%
What's happened in Banbury
Energy Bills
55%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
128,488
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)349,400
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 33
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Ambulance Wait Times
34m 5s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)1h 10m 48s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)
Housing
29,540
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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