Tactical voting

Basingstoke

Our tactical voting recommendation in Basingstoke:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Basingstoke?

Basingstoke, traditionally Conservative since 1924, is now within reach for Labour due to urban growth, national swing, and boundary changes. The Greens and Lib Dems are not targeting Basingstoke. Labour had a slight lead in the May 2024 local elections, but votes were divided. For the general election, the main contest is between the Conservatives and Labour. The most recent polling has Labour comfortably in the lead, but the margin has fluctuated in recent months.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Basingstoke?

It looks like Basingstoke is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Basingstoke

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 31.00%
Labour 39.86%
Liberal Democrats 12.42%
Reform 10.64%
Green 4.18%
Other 1.81%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Basingstoke?

35%

What's happened in Basingstoke

Energy Bills

58%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

128,488

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

349,400

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 25

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

34m 5s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 10m 48s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

29,540

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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