Tactical voting

Blackpool South

Our tactical voting recommendation in Blackpool South:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Blackpool South?

Blackpool South was Conservative until Labour won in 1997. The Conservatives reclaimed it in 2019, but the MP resigned after a misconduct suspension. Labour won it back in a 2024 by-election. The latest polling shows Labour narrowly ahead, with a surging Reform UK taking second place from the Conservatives. This increase in the Reform UK vote share makes the outcome more uncertain, and tactical voting could be critical here.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Blackpool South?

It looks like Blackpool South is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Blackpool South

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 28.31%
Labour 51.28%
Liberal Democrats 5.63%
Reform 9.32%
Green 3.43%
Other 1.95%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Blackpool South?

33%

What's happened in Blackpool South

Energy Bills

61%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

198,825

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

347,976

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 14

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

49m 45s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 8m 3s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

18,812

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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