Tactical voting

Bolton West

Our tactical voting recommendation in Bolton West:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Bolton West?

Bolton West is a swing constituency between Conservative and Labour. The Conservatives won it in 2015 and have held it since. The Lib Dems and Greens are not targeting Bolton West. Recent polls show Labour comfortably ahead for the general election, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and the growing Reform UK vote could make the result more uncertain.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Bolton West?

It looks like Bolton West is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Bolton West

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 31.41%
Labour 52.56%
Liberal Democrats 5.39%
Reform 5.49%
Green 3.65%
Other 1.35%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Bolton West?

38%

What's happened in Bolton West

Energy Bills

62%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

198,825

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

347,976

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Ambulance Wait Times

49m 45s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 8m 3s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

18,812

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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