Tactical voting

Brighton Pavilion

Our tactical voting recommendation in Brighton Pavilion:
Vote Green

Why vote Green in Brighton Pavilion?

This is the only seat where the Green Party had an MP in the last parliament. Tactical voting works when Green, Labour and Lib Dem voters come together. This is a seat where both Labour and the Greens are targeting it. Another seat like this is Bristol Central. In these scenarios, we must prioritise the incumbent party. This is also why we are backing Labour in Bristol Central.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Brighton Pavilion?

It looks like Brighton Pavilion is a Labour and Green target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Brighton Pavilion

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 19.71%
Labour 41.38%
Liberal Democrats 3.84%
Reform 2.63%
Green 30.26%
Other 1.24%
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Brighton Pavilion?

54%

What's happened in Brighton Pavilion

Energy Bills

50%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

128,488

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

349,400

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 25

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

36m 43s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 1m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

29,540

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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