Tactical voting

Burnley

Our tactical voting recommendation in Burnley:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Burnley?

Burnley was a surprise win for the Conservatives in 2019. Now, on new boundaries, it's the most vulnerable Conservative seat to Labour. Recent polling favours Labour, but results can change and the Conservatives will aim to reduce Reform UK's votes to hold off Labour. The polls may not consider Independents splitting the vote, as seen in May's local elections, so tactical voting by Green and Lib Dem voters will be important.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Burnley?

It looks like Burnley is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Burnley

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 23.99%
Labour 49.87%
Liberal Democrats 8.34%
Reform 11.08%
Green 3.71%
Other 2.91%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Burnley?

36%

What's happened in Burnley

Energy Bills

61%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

198,825

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

347,976

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 14

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

49m 45s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 8m 3s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

18,812

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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