Tactical voting
Calder Valley
Our tactical voting recommendation in Calder Valley:
Vote Labour
Why vote Labour in Calder Valley?
Calder Valley has swung between the Conservatives and Labour. The Conservatives had a tight win in 2017 but a bigger one in 2019. Labour made gains in the local elections in May 2024, leading by 14 points. Current polls favour Labour, but polls have tightened before and the growing Reform UK vote could make the result more uncertain.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Which parties look like they are targeting Calder Valley?
It looks like Calder Valley is a Labour target seat.
Polling: Voting Intention for Calder Valley
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
31.12%
Labour
53.35%
Liberal Democrats
4.09%
Reform
6.79%
Green
2.70%
Other
1.68%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Calder Valley?
37%
What's happened in Calder Valley
Energy Bills
59%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
79,502
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)200,562
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 25
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Ambulance Wait Times
42m 36s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)1h 23m 19s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)
Housing
6,225
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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