Tactical voting

Castle Point

Our tactical voting recommendation in Castle Point:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Castle Point?

Castle Point has generally been a Conservative seat, although Labour had a one-off victory in 1997. By 2019 the Conservatives had built up a very large majority, although this was helped on that occasion by the Brexit Party, now called Reform UK, not standing; Castle Point is a strongly Leave voting area. With Reform UK standing in this election, the right wing vote is divided and the seat could be surprisingly marginal. The latest polling shows that the Conservatives have only a narrow lead over Labour in Castle Point, although things can change during election campaigns and polls have been in error in previous elections. Voters wishing to see a change of government should vote for Labour.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Castle Point

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 44.56%
Labour 33.55%
Liberal Democrats 7.43%
Reform 10.16%
Green 2.84%
Other 1.37%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Castle Point?

29%

What's happened in Castle Point

Energy Bills

50%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

127,027

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

324,477

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 50

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

52m 23s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 40m 3s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

19,936

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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