Tactical voting

Central Devon

Our tactical voting recommendation in Central Devon:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Central Devon?

Central Devon constituency is based on small towns and a large rural area broadly west of Exeter. It has been held by the Conservatives since it was created in 2010. In contrast to some other rural seats in the South West, Labour has been in second place in 2017 and 2019 and represent the main challenge to the Tories. Local election success in some wards for other parties does not translate into general election viability. Latest polling shows Labour with a clear but not conclusive lead over the Conservatives in voting intention although things can change during election campaigns and polling has been in error in some past elections. The decisive factor may be how effectively people on each side of politics vote - the right is currently divided between the Conservatives and Reform UK. There are significant numbers of people intending to vote Green or Lib Dem, nowhere near enough to win but possibly enough to enable the Tories to hang on thanks to a split in the vote.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Central Devon

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 33.09%
Labour 41.81%
Liberal Democrats 9.52%
Reform 8.63%
Green 5.32%
Other 1.50%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Central Devon?

40%

What's happened in Central Devon

Energy Bills

54%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

122,383

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

247,850

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 25

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

59m 15s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 31m 47s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

12,507

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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