Tactical voting
Chelmsford
Our tactical voting recommendation in Chelmsford:
Vote Lib Dem
Why vote Lib Dem in Chelmsford?
Chelmsford is an ambitious Lib Dem target seat, as the Conservatives were well ahead in the 2019 election. However, the Lib Dems have demonstrated continuing strength in local elections and the latest polling shows a close three-way split between the Tories, Lib Dem and Labour. Support for Labour in Chelmsford is boosted by national trends rather than local factors, as it is not a Labour target seat; and we expect much of this to be converted into Lib Dem votes during the campaign.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Which parties look like they are targeting Chelmsford?
It looks like Chelmsford is a Liberal Democrats target seat.
Polling: Voting Intention for Chelmsford
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
33.60%
Labour
39.08%
Liberal Democrats
13.76%
Reform
9.99%
Green
2.27%
Other
1.15%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Chelmsford?
40%
What's happened in Chelmsford
Energy Bills
56%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
127,027
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)324,477
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 14
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Ambulance Wait Times
52m 23s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)1h 40m 3s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)
Housing
19,936
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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