Tactical voting

Cheltenham

Our tactical voting recommendation in Cheltenham:
Vote Lib Dem

Why vote Lib Dem in Cheltenham?

Cheltenham was held by the Lib Dems between 1992 and 2015, when it was gained by the Conservatives; but the Tory majority has always been small, even at the 2019 election. The Lib Dems have dominated local elections in Cheltenham and latest polling has them ahead of the Conservatives, with Labour in third place. Cheltenham is not a Labour or Green target seat, and more voters than average are prepared to vote tactically here.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Cheltenham?

It looks like Cheltenham is a Liberal Democrats target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Cheltenham

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 26.55%
Labour 19.92%
Liberal Democrats 43.75%
Reform 7.71%
Green 1.35%
Other 0.62%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Cheltenham?

50%

What's happened in Cheltenham

Energy Bills

46%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

122,383

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

247,850

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 25

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

59m 15s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 31m 47s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

12,507

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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