Tactical voting

Chipping Barnet

Our tactical voting recommendation in Chipping Barnet:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Chipping Barnet?

Chipping Barnet has been a Conservative seat since 1950, but Labour came close in 2017 and 2019 and it's now a top target for Labour. Winning seats like this is crucial for Labour to defeat the Conservatives nationally. Labour's success in local elections in Barnet shows promise and Labour is leading in the latest polling, though this could tighten. Our research finds that Chipping Barnet voters are among the most willing to cast a tactical vote.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Chipping Barnet?

It looks like Chipping Barnet is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Chipping Barnet

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 31.86%
Labour 49.91%
Liberal Democrats 8.23%
Reform 4.73%
Green 3.85%
Other 1.20%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Chipping Barnet?

42%

What's happened in Chipping Barnet

Energy Bills

58%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

137,248

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

384,477

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 50

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

38m 14s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 30m 56s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

167,460

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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