Tactical voting

Cities of London and Westminster

Our tactical voting recommendation in Cities of London and Westminster:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Cities of London and Westminster?

Losing the Cities of London and Westminster constituency would be a bitter blow for the Conservative Party. This was a safe Tory seat but it's been shifting away from them, becoming a close race with Labour in 2017. In 2019, the Lib Dems did well here, targeting Remain-supporting areas, but the seat is not a target for the Lib Dems in this election. Labour won control of the Westminster City Council in 2022 and gained the West Central London Assembly constituency from the Conservatives in May 2024. The latest polling shows Labour has a narrow lead over the Conservatives, which could tighten as the election campaign progresses. Tactical voting by Lib Dem and Green supporters could be crucial here, and voters in this constituency are particularly willing to vote tactically according to our research.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Cities of London and Westminster?

It looks like Cities of London and Westminster is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Cities of London and Westminster

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 28.44%
Labour 42.44%
Liberal Democrats 22.58%
Reform 3.63%
Green 1.70%
Other 1.06%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Cities of London and Westminster?

48%

What's happened in Cities of London and Westminster

Energy Bills

62%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

137,248

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

384,477

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 14

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

38m 14s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 30m 56s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

167,460

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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