Tactical voting

Dartford

Our tactical voting recommendation in Dartford:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Dartford?

Dartford is what is known as a ‘bellwether’ constituency - it has voted for the winning party in every election since 1964. The Conservatives have held it since 2010 and achieved a large majority in the 2019 election. However, as its history indicates, Labour’s chances of winning might be higher than the raw numbers suggest. The latest polling shows that Labour has a clear but not overwhelming lead over the Conservatives in Dartford, although things can change during election campaigns and polling has been in error in some past elections. What is clear is that it is a real contest, and voters wishing to defeat the Conservative government should vote Labour.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Dartford

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 33.75%
Labour 38.25%
Liberal Democrats 10.40%
Reform 11.79%
Green 4.54%
Other 1.16%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Dartford?

35%

What's happened in Dartford

Energy Bills

59%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

128,488

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

349,400

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 50

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

36m 43s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 1m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

29,540

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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