Tactical voting

Derby North

Our tactical voting recommendation in Derby North:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Derby North?

Derby North has been closely contested between the Conservatives and Labour for decades. The latest polling shows Labour well ahead of the Conservatives in Derby North, not surprising given the national position. However, polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections. The Liberal Democrats are strong at local government level in some wards in Derby, but this does not translate into general election success and Derby North is not a Lib Dem target seat. Voters wishing to eject the Conservatives from power will throw their weight behind Labour as the most serious challenger.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Derby North?

It looks like Derby North is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Derby North

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 27.78%
Labour 51.51%
Liberal Democrats 7.03%
Reform 8.00%
Green 3.83%
Other 1.75%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Derby North?

37%

What's happened in Derby North

Energy Bills

48%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

67,078

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

172,680

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 7

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

1h 4m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 25m 57s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

7,890

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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