Tactical voting

Dover and Deal

Our tactical voting recommendation in Dover and Deal:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Dover and Deal?

Dover and Deal (previously just called Dover, although the constituency still included Deal) has gone with the national winner in every election since 1951, except for the two 1974 elections when it stayed Conservative while the country narrowly voted Labour. Labour did well in the 2023 local elections here, confirming the party’s role as the leading challenger to the Tories. No other opposition party is treating Dover & Deal as a target seat. Latest polling shows Labour with a clear lead over the Conservatives, but the margin has fluctuated; polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Dover and Deal?

It looks like Dover and Deal is a Labour target seat.

Download a window poster

About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Dover and Deal

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 34.52%
Labour 42.12%
Liberal Democrats 5.49%
Reform 10.12%
Green 5.61%
Other 2.01%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Dover and Deal?

33%

What's happened in Dover and Deal

Energy Bills

63%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

128,488

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

349,400

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 25

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

36m 43s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 1m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

29,540

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

Help us spread the word
Share this across your socials, so that more people know what they need to do to get it right.

Don't want to vote tactically?

That's fair enough, you shouldn't have to! Will you join our campaign to improve the voting system?