Tactical voting

Earley and Woodley

Our tactical voting recommendation in Earley and Woodley:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Earley and Woodley?

Earley and Woodley is a new constituency. It is the seat that makes the difference between a Labour minority and majority. The Conservatives were ahead in the local government elections in May 2024, but with only 37 per cent of the vote. Labour were second with 28 per cent and the Lib Dems, who are active in Wokingham local politics, third with 27 per cent and the Greens fourth. This illustrates the risks of not voting for the best-placed challenger. The latest information from our polling is that Labour are just ahead of the Conservatives. Anti-Conservative voters in the constituency appear particularly willing to vote tactically. The Conservatives will be hoping to recruit Reform UK supporters to vote for them in the absence of a Reform candidate.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Earley and Woodley?

It looks like Earley and Woodley is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Earley and Woodley

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 28.17%
Labour 39.76%
Liberal Democrats 15.02%
Reform 12.36%
Green 3.38%
Other 1.15%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Earley and Woodley?

44%

What's happened in Earley and Woodley

Energy Bills

49%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

128,488

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

349,400

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 50

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

34m 5s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 10m 48s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

29,540

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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