Tactical voting

East Worthing and Shoreham

Our tactical voting recommendation in East Worthing and Shoreham:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in East Worthing and Shoreham?

East Worthing and Shoreham has been a Conservative seat since it was created in 1997 but Labour support in the area has been on an upward trend. Labour has done well in local government elections in the two district councils in the seat (Adur and Worthing), winning control of both of them for the first time. Labour had a large lead over the Conservatives in the votes cast in the May 2024 local elections, with the Greens a long way behind in third. Latest polling shows Labour comfortably ahead of the Conservatives in general election voting intention here, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections. Labour’s lead is also vulnerable to the Conservatives squeezing the third-placed Reform UK vote, if Green and Lib Dem supporters - for whom this is not a target seat - do not also vote tactically.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting East Worthing and Shoreham?

It looks like East Worthing and Shoreham is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for East Worthing and Shoreham

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 28.08%
Labour 42.15%
Liberal Democrats 9.92%
Reform 12.79%
Green 5.33%
Other 1.61%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in East Worthing and Shoreham?

38%

What's happened in East Worthing and Shoreham

Energy Bills

52%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

128,488

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

349,400

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 16

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

36m 43s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 1m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

29,540

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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