Tactical voting
Esher and Walton
Our tactical voting recommendation in Esher and Walton:
Vote Lib Dem
Why vote Lib Dem in Esher and Walton?
The Lib Dems came close to defeating Conservative MP Dominic Raab in the 2019 election in Esher and Walton, which was previously a Tory safe seat. Raab is standing down at this election. The Lib Dems have continued to do well in local elections in Elmbridge, the borough council for Esher and Walton. Polling has found fluctuations in party support locally, with some showing the Conservatives ahead on a low share of the vote because of a divided opposition; but the latest data shows the Lib Dems ahead with Conservatives a clear second and Labour in third place.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Which parties look like they are targeting Esher and Walton?
It looks like Esher and Walton is a Liberal Democrats target seat.
Polling: Voting Intention for Esher and Walton
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
27.23%
Labour
24.04%
Liberal Democrats
34.83%
Reform
11.47%
Green
1.56%
Other
0.78%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Esher and Walton?
47%
What's happened in Esher and Walton
Energy Bills
46%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
128,488
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)349,400
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 20
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Ambulance Wait Times
36m 43s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)1h 1m 42s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)
Housing
29,540
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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