Tactical voting

Gloucester

Our tactical voting recommendation in Gloucester:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Gloucester?

Gloucester is a key ‘bellwether’ constituency that has voted for the party that has won the election nationally in all elections since 1964, with the exception of the two elections of 1974. The Liberal Democrats polled well in the city elections in May 2024, and have been an important force locally for some time, but they have never translated this into serious support in a parliamentary election. When it comes to general elections, the choice in Gloucester is between Conservative and Labour. Latest polling shows Labour comfortably ahead of the Conservatives in general election voting intention here, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Gloucester?

It looks like Gloucester is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Gloucester

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 32.11%
Labour 46.96%
Liberal Democrats 7.47%
Reform 6.80%
Green 5.34%
Other 1.19%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Gloucester?

33%

What's happened in Gloucester

Energy Bills

57%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

122,383

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

247,850

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 25

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

59m 15s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 31m 47s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

12,507

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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