Tactical voting

Grantham and Bourne

Our tactical voting recommendation in Grantham and Bourne:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Grantham and Bourne?

Grantham and Bourne is a new constituency comprising most of the old constituency of Grantham and Stamford, excluding the town of Stamford, and extending north to include a minority of the Sleaford and North Hykeham constituency. It will be a close race between the Conservatives and Labour, with the lead swapping between the two parties in polling since September. The Conservatives will be hoping to squeeze the sizeable Reform UK vote to win the seat. Greens and Lib Dems are not targeting this seat and their voters should back Labour here to inflict a defeat on the Conservatives.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Grantham and Bourne

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 35.34%
Labour 36.60%
Liberal Democrats 8.04%
Reform 13.91%
Green 4.38%
Other 1.66%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Grantham and Bourne?

34%

What's happened in Grantham and Bourne

Energy Bills

53%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

67,078

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

172,680

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 50

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

1h 4m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 25m 57s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

7,890

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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