Tactical voting

Gravesham

Our tactical voting recommendation in Gravesham:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Gravesham?

Gravesham - Gravesend and neighbouring communities - has tended to vote for the party that goes on to form the national government. This makes it a key ‘bellwether’ seat. Latest polling shows Labour with a very narrow lead over the Conservatives in Gravesham, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections. Labour’s lead is also dependent on the Conservatives losing votes to third-placed Reform; if these came back then the Tories would stand a serious chance of holding on. No progressive party other than Labour regards Gravesham as a target seat.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Gravesham?

It looks like Gravesham is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Gravesham

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 33.83%
Labour 43.57%
Liberal Democrats 7.54%
Reform 8.81%
Green 4.57%
Other 1.58%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Gravesham?

34%

What's happened in Gravesham

Energy Bills

54%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

128,488

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

349,400

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 20

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

36m 43s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 1m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

29,540

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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