Tactical voting

Guildford

Our tactical voting recommendation in Guildford:
Vote Lib Dem

Why vote Lib Dem in Guildford?

Guildford is usually won by the Conservatives, but it was a close race in 2019 and the Lib Dems have done well in local elections across Surrey since. Guildford is not a target seat for Labour or the Greens. The latest polling shows the Lib Dems have a clear lead in Guildford, with the Tory vote share dropping. An above-average number of voters here are prepared to vote tactically against the Tories.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Guildford?

It looks like Guildford is a Liberal Democrats target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Guildford

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 26.68%
Labour 27.93%
Liberal Democrats 29.32%
Reform 12.44%
Green 1.92%
Other 1.62%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Guildford?

44%

What's happened in Guildford

Energy Bills

56%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

128,488

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

349,400

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 25

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

36m 43s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 1m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

29,540

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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