Tactical voting

Harrogate and Knaresborough

Our tactical voting recommendation in Harrogate and Knaresborough:
Vote Lib Dem

Why vote Lib Dem in Harrogate and Knaresborough?

Harrogate and Knaresborough was a Lib Dem seat from 1997 until 2010, when it was lost to the Conservatives; but the Lib Dems have remained competitive and weren't too far behind in the 2019 general election. Latest polling shows the Lib Dems ahead by an extremely narrow margin. Labour support is boosted by national trends, but we expect that much of this will be converted into Lib Dem votes during the campaign. Harrogate and Knaresborough is not a Labour target seat.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Harrogate and Knaresborough?

It looks like Harrogate and Knaresborough is a Liberal Democrats target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Harrogate and Knaresborough

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 30.57%
Labour 23.78%
Liberal Democrats 36.30%
Reform 6.60%
Green 1.57%
Other 1.10%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Harrogate and Knaresborough?

40%

What's happened in Harrogate and Knaresborough

Energy Bills

52%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

79,502

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

200,562

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 25

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

42m 36s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 23m 19s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

6,225

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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