Tactical voting

Hastings and Rye

Our tactical voting recommendation in Hastings and Rye:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Hastings and Rye?

Hastings and Rye has remained a closely-contested seat between Labour and the Conservatives, with a narrow Tory majority in the 2019 election. Local politics in Hastings has seen upheavals and the Green Party can win ward-based elections in the town. However, when voters are thinking in the context of national elections they line up behind Labour or the Tories, with the Greens polling at a deposit-losing fifth place in the latest polling for Hastings and Rye. Labour is well ahead of the Tories in voting intention, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Hastings and Rye?

It looks like Hastings and Rye is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Hastings and Rye

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 30.67%
Labour 49.26%
Liberal Democrats 6.68%
Reform 7.74%
Green 3.35%
Other 2.10%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Hastings and Rye?

42%

What's happened in Hastings and Rye

Energy Bills

71%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

128,488

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

349,400

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 33

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

36m 43s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 1m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

29,540

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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