Tactical voting

Hemel Hempstead

Our tactical voting recommendation in Hemel Hempstead:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Hemel Hempstead?

The Liberal Democrats are strong at local government level in Hemel Hempstead and the other communities of Dacorum district council, but when it comes to general election voting behaviour it is a seat that is contested between Labour and the Conservatives. Even in 2019, Labour polled more than twice as many votes as the LIb Dems. Latest polling shows Labour and the Conservatives are neck and neck in general election voting intention. Neither the Lib Dems nor the Greens are treating Hemel Hempstead as a target seat; there are more serious campaigns for them in other parts of Hertfordshire. The support of people who vote Lib Dem in local elections may be crucial in enabling Labour to defeat the Conservatives here.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Hemel Hempstead?

It looks like Hemel Hempstead is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Hemel Hempstead

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 32.49%
Labour 40.97%
Liberal Democrats 11.27%
Reform 8.84%
Green 4.02%
Other 2.33%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Hemel Hempstead?

36%

What's happened in Hemel Hempstead

Energy Bills

63%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

127,027

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

324,477

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 33

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

52m 23s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 40m 3s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

19,936

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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