Tactical voting

Hendon

Our tactical voting recommendation in Hendon:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Hendon?

Hendon is a seat that Labour held from 1997 to 2010 but the Conservatives regained it when they came to power nationally in 2010. It has remained a closely-contested seat between Labour and the Conservatives. Labour has made progress in local elections in Barnet, winning control of the borough in 2022. No other parties have done well in Barnet elections and only Labour regards Hendon as a target seat. The latest polling shows Labour just ahead of the Conservatives. Our research finds that Hendon voters are among the most willing to cast a tactical vote, so Greens and Lib Dems voting for Labour will not find themselves alone here.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Hendon?

It looks like Hendon is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Hendon

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 33.11%
Labour 49.66%
Liberal Democrats 7.20%
Reform 4.08%
Green 4.66%
Other 1.12%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Hendon?

39%

What's happened in Hendon

Energy Bills

52%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

137,248

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

384,477

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 33

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

38m 14s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 30m 56s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

167,460

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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