Tactical voting

Hereford and South Herefordshire

Our tactical voting recommendation in Hereford and South Herefordshire:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Hereford and South Herefordshire?

Hereford and South Herefordshire has been a Conservative seat since 2010. The Liberal Democrats held it (then called Hereford) from 1997 to 2010 but their vote declined steeply in 2015 and 2017 and Labour has taken over the position of main challenger to the Conservatives. The latest polling shows that Labour and the Conservatives are neck and neck here. While the Green vote share is very strong, they are not targeting this seat, instead focusing on nearby North Herefordshire. What is clear is that it is a real contest, and voters wishing to defeat the Conservative government should unite behind Labour in Hereford and South Herefordshire.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Hereford and South Herefordshire

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 33.36%
Labour 34.48%
Liberal Democrats 14.15%
Reform 11.28%
Green 5.18%
Other 1.46%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Hereford and South Herefordshire?

36%

What's happened in Hereford and South Herefordshire

Energy Bills

58%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

121,048

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

278,230

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 50

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

23m 29s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 29m 5s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

24,003

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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