Tactical voting
Hornchurch and Upminster
Our tactical voting recommendation in Hornchurch and Upminster:
Vote Labour
Why vote Labour in Hornchurch and Upminster?
Hornchurch and Upminster has been held by the Conservatives since the seat's creation in 2010. Polling since September has shown the seat will be an extremely close race between Labour and the Conservatives, with the lead alternating between the two parties, though latest results show Labour edging ahead. The Lib Dems and Greens are not targeting this seat and cannot win here, so voters wishing to defeat the Conservatives should unite behind Labour in Hornchurch and Upminster.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Polling: Voting Intention for Hornchurch and Upminster
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
34.52%
Labour
37.55%
Liberal Democrats
12.27%
Reform
9.49%
Green
4.52%
Other
1.57%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Hornchurch and Upminster?
33%
What's happened in Hornchurch and Upminster
Energy Bills
48%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
137,248
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)384,477
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 33
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Ambulance Wait Times
38m 14s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)1h 30m 56s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)
Housing
167,460
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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