Tactical voting

Horsham

Our tactical voting recommendation in Horsham:
Vote Lib Dem

Why vote Lib Dem in Horsham?

Horsham has been held by the Conservatives in the seat's current iteration since 1983; but in various forms the seat has been consistently Tory-held since 1880. A defeat for the Conservatives would be seismic here, and it is possible - polling since May has shown the Lib Dems inching ahead, with the Conservatives in second and Labour in third place. Voters wishing to inflict a historic defeat on the Conservatives in Horsham should unite behind the Lib Dems here.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Horsham

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 35.42%
Labour 30.62%
Liberal Democrats 21.29%
Reform 6.12%
Green 5.26%
Other 1.21%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Horsham?

36%

What's happened in Horsham

Energy Bills

53%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

128,488

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

349,400

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 50

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

36m 43s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 1m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

29,540

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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