Tactical voting

Isle of Wight West

Our tactical voting recommendation in Isle of Wight West:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Isle of Wight West?

The Isle of Wight is divided into two constituencies in the boundary changes taking effect at the general election. According to the standard estimates for new constituencies, Isle of Wight West would have voted Conservative by a large majority in the 2019 election with Labour in second place. Polling indicates a close battle between Labour and the Conservatives. The latest figures show Labour pulling ahead, but the poll lead has fluctuated over the last several months, and the Tories will campaign to squeeze the surging Reform UK vote to narrow Labour's lead. Voters wishing to defeat the Conservatives in Isle of Wight West should unite behind Labour here.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Isle of Wight West?

It looks like Isle of Wight West is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Isle of Wight West

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 33.71%
Labour 34.38%
Liberal Democrats 10.19%
Reform 9.39%
Green 8.83%
Other 3.44%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Isle of Wight West?

36%

What's happened in Isle of Wight West

Energy Bills

73%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

128,488

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

349,400

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 33

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

36m 51s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

53m 12s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

29,540

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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