Tactical voting

Keighley and Ilkley

Our tactical voting recommendation in Keighley and Ilkley:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Keighley and Ilkley?

The Conservative majority in 2019 was narrow. Keighley and Ilkley is therefore a critical seat if the Tories are to be ejected from government. No other party regards it as a target seat. Swings have always tended to be low in Keighley, and the latest polling shows Labour with a comfortable lead over the Conservatives in general election voting intention. However, polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections so Lib Dems and Greens are encouraged to back Labour here.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Keighley and Ilkley?

It looks like Keighley and Ilkley is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Keighley and Ilkley

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 26.39%
Labour 49.71%
Liberal Democrats 4.20%
Reform 14.01%
Green 3.58%
Other 1.81%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Keighley and Ilkley?

41%

What's happened in Keighley and Ilkley

Energy Bills

50%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

79,502

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

200,562

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 16

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

42m 36s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 23m 19s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

6,225

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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