Tactical voting

Leigh and Atherton

Our tactical voting recommendation in Leigh and Atherton:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Leigh and Atherton?

Leigh and Atherton is the successor to the Leigh constituency which the Conservatives gained in 2019 after nearly a century of Labour representation starting in 1922. Latest polling shows Labour a long way ahead of the Conservatives in general election voting intention here, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections and the Conservatives will be trying to squeeze the large Reform UK vote.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Leigh and Atherton?

It looks like Leigh and Atherton is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Leigh and Atherton

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 27.42%
Labour 55.20%
Liberal Democrats 7.22%
Reform 5.36%
Green 2.24%
Other 2.44%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Leigh and Atherton?

41%

What's happened in Leigh and Atherton

Energy Bills

44%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

198,825

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

347,976

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 25

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

49m 45s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 8m 3s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

18,812

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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