Tactical voting
Louth and Horncastle
Our tactical voting recommendation in Louth and Horncastle:
Vote Labour
Why vote Labour in Louth and Horncastle?
Louth and Horncastle has been held by the Conservatives since 1997, and since 2010 has been represented by Victoria Atkins, the current Health Secretary. Latest polling shows Labour narrowly ahead of the Conservatives here, with Reform UK in third place. In such a close race, and with the chance of the Conservatives persuading Reform UK voters to back them instead, voters who want to see the Conservatives defeated should vote for Labour in Louth and Horncastle.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Polling: Voting Intention for Louth and Horncastle
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
36.33%
Labour
33.40%
Liberal Democrats
8.66%
Reform
17.94%
Green
2.35%
Other
1.24%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Louth and Horncastle?
30%
What's happened in Louth and Horncastle
Energy Bills
56%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
67,078
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)172,680
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Ambulance Wait Times
1h 4m 42s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)1h 25m 57s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)
Housing
7,890
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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