Tactical voting

Mansfield

Our tactical voting recommendation in Mansfield:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Mansfield?

Mansfield was a long-term Labour constituency that was gained by the Conservatives in 2017 and held with a greatly increased majority in 2019. No previous Labour government has been without a Mansfield MP. No other party is treating it as a target seat. Latest polling shows Labour comfortably ahead of the Conservatives in general election voting intention here. Labour’s poll lead has fluctuated over the last few months, meaning that it cannot be taken for granted.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Mansfield?

It looks like Mansfield is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Mansfield

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 35.87%
Labour 43.16%
Liberal Democrats 5.52%
Reform 8.78%
Green 4.28%
Other 2.26%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Mansfield?

32%

What's happened in Mansfield

Energy Bills

50%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

67,078

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

172,680

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 12

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

1h 4m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 25m 57s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

7,890

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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