Tactical voting

Melksham and Devizes

Our tactical voting recommendation in Melksham and Devizes:
Vote Lib Dem

Why vote Lib Dem in Melksham and Devizes?

Melksham and Devizes is a new constituency created by boundary changes in the 2024 general election. Had it existed in 2019 it would likely have been a Conservative seat with a large majority. The latest polling shows it will be a tight contest, with voters wanting to oust the Tories split between the Lib Dems, Labour and the Greens. But Labour and the Greens are not targeting the seat, while the Lib Dems are, and the most recent data shows they are the party best-placed to defeat the Conservatives. Tactical voting could have a significant impact on the result in Melksham and Devizes, and voters should unite behind the Lib Dems to beat the Tories here.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Melksham and Devizes?

It looks like Melksham and Devizes is a Liberal Democrats target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Melksham and Devizes

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 37.22%
Labour 33.71%
Liberal Democrats 15.10%
Reform 8.73%
Green 4.18%
Other 0.94%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Melksham and Devizes?

43%

What's happened in Melksham and Devizes

Energy Bills

49%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

122,383

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

247,850

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 33

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

59m 15s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 31m 47s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

12,507

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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