Tactical voting

Mid Sussex

Our tactical voting recommendation in Mid Sussex:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Mid Sussex?

Mid Sussex has been a Conservative-held constituency since its creation in 1974, but is in contention at this election. However, tactical voting guidance is exceptionally difficult in Mid Sussex. The local factors indicate the Lib Dems will do well here - they came second to the Conservatives in the 2019 general election, and in neighbouring constituencies with a similar makeup like Horsham we are recommending the Lib Dems. However, the three latest MRP polls, which you can see below, have shown Labour ahead of the Lib Dems by a minimum of 7 percentage points. This is a compelling lead, and so our tactical voting recommendation is for Labour. Due to the conflict between local factors and polling here, we advise that voters wishing to vote tactically in Mid Sussex should consult other tactical voting websites and think carefully about which party they wish to back before casting their vote.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Mid Sussex

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 32.59%
Labour 31.88%
Liberal Democrats 21.20%
Reform 6.78%
Green 6.19%
Other 1.28%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Mid Sussex?

39%

What's happened in Mid Sussex

Energy Bills

60%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

128,488

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

349,400

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 50

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

36m 43s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 1m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

29,540

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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