Tactical voting

Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland

Our tactical voting recommendation in Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland?

Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland is a seat that Labour needs to have a working majority in Parliament sufficient to keep the Tories out for a full term. Latest polling shows Labour comfortably ahead of the Conservatives in this constituency, but the Conservative vote was still strong in the Tees Valley mayoral election in May 2024 and the Conservatives will benefit from the absence of a Reform UK candidate in this constituency.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland?

It looks like Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 30.50%
Labour 47.07%
Liberal Democrats 4.89%
Reform 11.92%
Green 3.96%
Other 1.52%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland?

34%

What's happened in Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland

Energy Bills

57%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

65,177

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

154,403

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 50

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

48m 44s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 10m 24s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

1,507

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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