Tactical voting

Newcastle-under-Lyme

Our tactical voting recommendation in Newcastle-under-Lyme:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Newcastle-under-Lyme?

The Conservatives had a narrow lead in the 2022 local elections in a contest in which they and Labour were the main competitors. The latest polling shows that when people think about which party they want to win the general election, Labour is well ahead. However, polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections. Tactical voting from Lib Dem and Green supporters may help counteract any Conservative squeeze on Reform.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Newcastle-under-Lyme?

It looks like Newcastle-under-Lyme is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Newcastle-under-Lyme

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 30.85%
Labour 52.12%
Liberal Democrats 4.91%
Reform 6.10%
Green 3.73%
Other 2.19%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Newcastle-under-Lyme?

36%

What's happened in Newcastle-under-Lyme

Energy Bills

54%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

121,048

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

278,230

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 33

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

23m 29s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 29m 5s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

24,003

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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