Tactical voting

North Cotswolds

Our tactical voting recommendation in North Cotswolds:
Vote Lib Dem

Why vote Lib Dem in North Cotswolds?

North Cotswolds is a new constituency created in the boundary changes that take effect at the general election. It contains the northern half of the former The Cotswolds seat, plus some towns, villages and suburbs around Gloucester. Had it existed at the time of the 2019 election it would have been Conservative with a large majority. Recent polling has seen the Labour and Conservative votes decrease and the Liberal Democrats increase. Analysis of polling and local factors mean any voters wishing to inflict a defeat on the Conservatives should unite behind the Liberal Democrats in North Cotswolds.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for North Cotswolds

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 30.75%
Labour 34.92%
Liberal Democrats 15.70%
Reform 12.79%
Green 4.14%
Other 1.61%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in North Cotswolds?

39%

What's happened in North Cotswolds

Energy Bills

54%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

122,383

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

247,850

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 20

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

59m 15s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 31m 47s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

12,507

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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