Tactical voting

North East Derbyshire

Our tactical voting recommendation in North East Derbyshire:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in North East Derbyshire?

North East Derbyshire was a Labour constituency for many years before the Conservatives gained the seat, against the tide, in the 2017 general election. Latest polling shows Labour comfortably ahead of the Conservatives in this constituency, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections. The Conservatives will try to squeeze the third-placed Reform UK vote to close the gap on Labour. It is in this sort of seat that progressive tactical voting may make the most difference.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting North East Derbyshire?

It looks like North East Derbyshire is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for North East Derbyshire

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 32.50%
Labour 43.87%
Liberal Democrats 8.47%
Reform 9.77%
Green 3.95%
Other 1.31%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in North East Derbyshire?

31%

What's happened in North East Derbyshire

Energy Bills

47%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

67,078

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

172,680

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 7

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

1h 4m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 25m 57s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

7,890

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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