Tactical voting
Orpington
Our tactical voting recommendation in Orpington:
Vote Labour
Why vote Labour in Orpington?
Orpington has been a Conservative seat since 1970 with the Liberal Democrats being strong challengers to the in the early 2000s. But their vote has faded away in recent elections and Labour was the leading anti-Conservative party in the 2019 election. Polling indicates a close battle between Labour and the Conservatives in the 2024 election; the latest figures show the Conservatives with a narrow lead. The best chance of beating them is to vote for Labour.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Polling: Voting Intention for Orpington
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
33.49%
Labour
37.33%
Liberal Democrats
10.70%
Reform
12.50%
Green
4.29%
Other
1.60%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Orpington?
36%
What's happened in Orpington
Energy Bills
54%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
137,248
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)384,477
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 50
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Ambulance Wait Times
38m 14s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)1h 30m 56s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)
Housing
167,460
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
Help us spread the word
Share this across your socials, so that more people know what they need to do to get it right.
Don't want to vote tactically?
That's fair enough, you shouldn't have to! Will you join our campaign to improve the voting system?