Tactical voting
Penrith and Solway
Our tactical voting recommendation in Penrith and Solway:
Vote Labour
Why vote Labour in Penrith and Solway?
Penrith and Solway is a new constituency created in the radical boundary changes in Cumbria. Latest polling shows Labour ahead of the Conservatives by a clear majority in this constituency, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections. Labour’s lead has fluctuated in recent months. In constituencies with radical boundary changes, estimates are particularly unreliable. The Tories will be trying to squeeze the Reform UK vote. Labour is the clear alternative to the Conservatives in this seat.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Which parties look like they are targeting Penrith and Solway?
It looks like Penrith and Solway is a Labour target seat.
Polling: Voting Intention for Penrith and Solway
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
34.09%
Labour
42.73%
Liberal Democrats
6.48%
Reform
9.38%
Green
5.29%
Other
1.89%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Penrith and Solway?
33%
What's happened in Penrith and Solway
Energy Bills
67%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
198,825
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)347,976
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 33
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Ambulance Wait Times
49m 45s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)1h 8m 3s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)
Housing
18,812
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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