Tactical voting

Rochester and Strood

Our tactical voting recommendation in Rochester and Strood:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Rochester and Strood?

Labour and the Conservatives are currently neck and neck in this constituency. Labour’s poll lead has also fluctuated over the last few months, meaning that it cannot be taken for granted, and it depends on the Conservatives losing some votes to Reform UK. The Tories will try to squeeze Reform, but this can be counteracted by supporters of the Lib Dems and Greens lending their votes to Labour. It is not a target seat for any other party.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Rochester and Strood?

It looks like Rochester and Strood is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Rochester and Strood

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 36.45%
Labour 40.38%
Liberal Democrats 8.83%
Reform 7.00%
Green 5.32%
Other 1.94%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Rochester and Strood?

31%

What's happened in Rochester and Strood

Energy Bills

54%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

128,488

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

349,400

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 20

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

36m 43s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 1m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

29,540

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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