Tactical voting

Salisbury

Our tactical voting recommendation in Salisbury:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Salisbury?

Salisbury has been a Conservative-held constituency since 1924, but the latest polling shows the Tory lead narrowing with Labour taking the seat by less than one percentage point. Under new boundaries for the 2024 election, the makeup of the constituency has changed - losing Amesbury and the Till Valley to the new constituency of East Wiltshire, and adding Tisbury and the Nadder Valley from South West Wiltshire. Tactical voting guidance is tricky here. The Lib Dems narrowly took second place to the Tories by just 869 votes in the 2019 general election, and while the local Wiltshire Council is Conservative-led, the Lib Dems have more seats than Labour. Nevertheless, local elections do not translate directly into general elections. For Salisbury, our tactical vote recommendation follows our three most recent MRP polls, where Labour have led the Liberal Democrats by at least 6 percentage points.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Salisbury

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 34.76%
Labour 32.16%
Liberal Democrats 18.21%
Reform 6.22%
Green 7.06%
Other 1.50%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Salisbury?

36%

What's happened in Salisbury

Energy Bills

58%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

122,383

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

247,850

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 25

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

59m 15s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 31m 47s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

12,507

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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