Tactical voting
Scarborough and Whitby
Our tactical voting recommendation in Scarborough and Whitby:
Vote Labour
Why vote Labour in Scarborough and Whitby?
Scarborough and Whitby is a traditionally Conservative seat that elected a Labour MP in 1997 and 2001. Latest polling shows Labour with a comfortable lead over the Conservatives in Scarborough and Whitby. However, polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections, and Labour’s lead has fluctuated over the last few months. The Conservatives will be looking to squeeze the Reform UK vote. There is no room for complacency among opponents of the Conservatives. Only Labour is treating Scarborough and Whitby as a target seat.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Which parties look like they are targeting Scarborough and Whitby?
It looks like Scarborough and Whitby is a Labour target seat.
Polling: Voting Intention for Scarborough and Whitby
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
32.20%
Labour
47.60%
Liberal Democrats
7.03%
Reform
8.08%
Green
2.91%
Other
2.07%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Scarborough and Whitby?
36%
What's happened in Scarborough and Whitby
Energy Bills
59%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
79,502
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)200,562
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 33
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Ambulance Wait Times
42m 36s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)1h 23m 19s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)
Housing
6,225
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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